Notebook Market Revenue Grows 1.7% in Q1’10 Despite a 2.3% Drop in Unit Volume

Notebook ASPs Increased more than 6% Q/Q for the Mini-Note PC/Slate and Ultraportable Categories, According to New DisplaySearch Notebook Report

Sort Date: 06152010
SANTA CLARA, CALIF., June 15, 2010—In Q1’10, revenue for the total notebook PC market grew to US$31.32B, the largest single quarter since Q3’08 when notebook ASPs were more than 20% higher than at present. Although ASPs declined for desktop replacement notebooks, they increased for every other category with double-digit jumps for mini-note PC/slate and ultraportable categories, according to the DisplaySearch Q2’10 Quarterly Advanced Notebook PC Shipment and Forecast Report.

ASPs in the mini-note PC/slate category were not impacted by Apple’s iPad since the product was not shipping in Q1’10. Rather, the introduction of new models with more features and second-generation CPUs helped to push up set prices and increase revenue for the category. In the ultraportable market, a new crop of products that were launched in and around the January CES show helped push revenues up 6% Q/Q, but they were still well below year-ago levels, as this category, which tends to be dependent upon the enterprise market, continued to struggle.

Table 1: Notebook and Mini-Note PC Revenue Y/Y Change (Billions of USD)

 

Segment

Q1’09

Q1’10

Y/Y Change

Mini-Note PC/Netbook PC/Slate

$2.24

$3.51

56.4%

Ultraportable

$1.88

$1.80

-4.3%

Portable

$19.73

$23.09

30.7%

Desktop Replacement

$2.09

$2.93

37.8%

All Portable PC

$26.40

$31.32

31.0%

Source: DisplaySearch Q2’10 Quarterly Advanced Notebook PC Shipment and Forecast Report

The positive Y/Y revenue growth in Q1’10 was a result of very strong mini-note PC/slate growth in Latin America and the Asia-Pacific, as well as continued growth in China and North America. Shipments of portable class notebook PCs surged Y/Y in Asia-Pacific, China, and Latin America, easily passing average market growth rates for the segment. Shipments of desktop replacement class notebook PCs surged Y/Y in Europe/Middle East/Africa and Japan.

Shipment growth in the mini-note PC/slate category exceeded the average for the notebook market as a whole, but it appears that the momentum is shifting from mini-note PCs to slates. In Q4’09, there were no consumer-oriented slates in the market, and the devices that did exist were targeted at small, vertical markets. In Q1’10, Apple shipped almost 700K iPads into the channel, accounting for 6.5% of all mini-note PCs/slates. In the first two months of Q2’10, the company sold more than 2M iPads. DisplaySearch expects that the iPad will continue to account for an increased share of the mini-note PC/slate segment in Q2’10. In the second half of the year, as additional slates are launched, the clamshell-style mini-note PC (netbook) could continue to lose share.

Table 2: Mini-Note PC/Slate Volume (Millions of Units)

Category

Q3’08

Q4’08

Q1’09

Q2’09

Q3’09

Q4’09

Q1’10

Q2’10*

Mini-Note PC/Slate Volume

5.642M

8.018M

6.052M

7.644M

9.691M

10.706M

10.251M

9.712M

iPad Share of Mini-Note PC/Slate Volume

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

6.5%

~30%

Mini-Note PC/Slate Share of Notebook Market

13.8%

19.9%

17.8%

20.0%

20.8%

20.6%

20.2%

20.3%

Source: DisplaySearch Q2’10 Quarterly Advanced Notebook PC Shipment and Forecast Report

* Q2’10 data is a preliminary forecast

Low priced clamshell-style mini-note PCs have made these products attractive to buyers seeking a secondary or tertiary PC. They have also lowered the entry barrier for first-time PC buyers in emerging markets. However, with the emergence of the iPad and other slates, this segment of the market is transitioning from devices that, though smaller and less expensive, followed typical PC market trends that are built upon Office suite applications and content creation to devices that provide the ability to create content, is more focused on an a la carte method for selecting the software capabilities (apps) of the device and content consumption.

“The last quarter of 2007 heralded the birth of the mini-note PC (netbook). Q1’10 signaled the birth of the slate PC, and possibly by extension, the beginning of the end of the mini-note PC (netbook). Apple has ported their successful iPhone app business model to the iPad. Android-based phones followed in their footsteps and will surely do the same with slates. The result will be that buyers of slates will be able to take advantage of this a la carte software model, adding only the functionality they want on their devices,” said John F. Jacobs, Director of Notebook Market Research.

Jacobs added, “The implications of a successful slate market to the display and PC industries are significant. Clamshell style devices have hinges that are easily manipulated to position the display at an angle that best utilizes a relatively narrowing viewing angle. Slates, with their focus on portability and media consumption and without a clamshell to protect the display, will be used in a wider variety of settings than netbooks. Therefore, they will require very durable, very thin, very bright, very color-saturated displays that consume as little of the battery power as possible.”

The New DisplaySearch Quarterly Advanced Notebook PC Shipment and Forecast Report is Now Available

Building upon DisplaySearch’s proven expertise in notebook PC market research, the company’s new advanced version of its Quarterly Notebook PC Shipment and Forecast Report will take your company’s notebook PC know-how to the next level. With expanded coverage to the end market, including street prices (ASPs) and system revenue for notebook and mini-note (netbook) PCs by display size and resolution by region, you won’t want to miss out on the latest information that can impact your business decisions.

Other report highlights include: forecasted notebook and mini-note (netbook) PC shipments by region, display size, resolution, and insightful analysis of the state of the notebook PC industry, including the breadth and depth of mini-note and notebook PC demand in major geographic regions and identification of the key variables influencing changing demand patterns in these markets.

Please contact Charles Camaroto at 1.888.436.7673 or 1.516.625.2452, e-mail contact@displaysearch.com or contact your regional DisplaySearch office in China, Japan, Korea or Taiwan for more information.

About DisplaySearch
Since 1996, DisplaySearch has been recognized as a leading global market research and consulting firm specializing in the display supply chain, as well as the emerging photovoltaic/solar cell industries. DisplaySearch provides trend information, forecasts and analyses developed by a global team of experienced analysts with extensive industry knowledge and resources. In collaboration with the NPD Group, its parent company, DisplaySearch uniquely offers a true end-to-end view of the display supply chain from materials and components to shipments of electronic devices with displays to sales of major consumer and commercial channels. For more information on DisplaySearch analysts, reports and industry events, visit us at http://www.displaysearch.com/. Read our blog at http://www.displaysearchblog.com/ and follow us on Twitter at @DisplaySearch.

About The NPD Group, Inc.
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