LEDs to Account for a Quarter of Global Lighting Market by 2016, Reports NPD DisplaySearch

Sort Date: 04162013

SANTA CLARA, CALIF., April 16, 2013—Demand for LED lighting is growing rapidly thanks to significant expansion in manufacturing capacity, falling prices, environmental concerns, and government incentives. According to the NPD DisplaySearch LED Lighting Market and Forecast Report, this new opportunity for LED lighting applications will double the market, from 16 million units in 2012 to a forecasted 33 million in 2013, and will nearly triple by 2016.

As a result, the demand for all LED lighting products—including spot lights, LED luminaries, street lights, LED light bulbs and fluorescent tubes—will reach 90 million in 2016, increasing the global penetration for LED lighting applications to 26% in 2016, up from only 5% in 2012. This increase is due in large part to continued growth in commercial applications, government incentive programs, and consumer demand for energy-saving technology.  The highest growth will be in LED-based tubes that replace fluorescent (FL) tubes used in commercial applications, LED-based street lights, and LED luminaires–innovative designs that produce light across various shapes and sizes.

Figure 1: Demand in LED Lighting Applications

Source: NPD DisplaySearch LED Lighting Market and Forecast Report

“LEDs are playing a leading role in the lighting industry, driven primarily by government incentive policies and consumer demand for more efficient light sources with advanced technologies such as wireless and color control,” noted Steven Sher, Analyst, NPD DisplaySearch. “This increased demand will manifest over the next three years, as consumers look to replace their traditional light bulbs with more efficient LED lighting options.”

Japan and China Lead LED Lighting Demand

Japan has been the largest market for LED lighting applications since 2011, and NPD DisplaySearch projects this dominance will continue through 2016, driven by the adoption of LED bulbs, spot lights, fluorescent tubes, and luminaires. LED lighting growth in China will be higher than other regions from 2012 to 2016 due to government policies such as the 12th Five-Year Plan, which is already driving demand for LED street lights. North America and Europe are also experiencing increased demand for LED lighting applications through 2016, particularly for LED fluorescent tubes.

Figure 2: LED Lighting Demand by Region

Source: NPD DisplaySearch LED Lighting Market and Forecast Report

The market opportunity for LED lighting is playing out in the context of a stagnant market for LEDs in LCD backlighting, currently the largest application for LEDs. In 2014, general illumination will pass display backlighting as the largest application for LEDs. In addition, the market for LED chips has been in oversupply as LED makers have invested heavily in MOCVD equipment, particularly in China. The surplus has caused competition to intensify and prices to drop dramatically, leading to higher LED penetration in lighting, but lower profits for LED makers. This has led many LED makers to pursue vertical integration, in which the LED chip makers integrate the chip, phosphor, and control circuits to make lighting engines, and in which LED package makers integrate the lamp assembly. Success in the lighting market requires technical integration, but also optical design and the development of brand and channel strategies.

The NPD DisplaySearch LED Lighting Market and Forecast Report analyzes the LED lighting market by region, brand, technology, and operation system. Unique to the industry, this report provides value chain analyses and an analysis of brands’ product roadmaps. For more information on this report, please contact Charles Camaroto at 1.888.436.7673 or 1.516.625.2452, or contact@displaysearch.com or contact your regional DisplaySearch office in China, Japan, Korea or Taiwan.

About NPD DisplaySearch
NPD DisplaySearch, part of The NPD Group, provides global market research and consulting specializing in the display supply chain, including trend information, forecasts and analyses developed by a global team of experienced analysts with extensive industry knowledge. NPD DisplaySearch supply chain expertise complements sell-through information from The NPD Group, thereby providing a true end-to-end view of the display supply chain from materials and components to shipments of electronic devices with displays to sales of major consumer and commercial channels. For more information, visit us at http://www.displaysearch.com/. Read our blog at http://www.displaysearchblog.com/ and follow us on Twitter at @DisplaySearch.

About The NPD Group, Inc.
The NPD Group provides global information and advisory services to drive better business decisions. By combining unique data assets with unmatched industry expertise, we help our clients track their markets, understand consumers, and drive profitable growth. Sectors covered include automotive, beauty, consumer electronics, entertainment, fashion, food / foodservice, home, luxury, mobile, office supplies, sports, technology, toys, and video games. For more information, visit http://www.npd.com/ and npdgroupblog.com. Follow us on Twitter: @npdtech and @npdgroup.

An NPD Group Company
X

Client Login


Forgot your password?
Become a Client

Contact a DisplaySearch representative today and learn how our in-depth display-related research can benefit your organization.

Contact us now!